Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 7.689538 8.488941 9.358478 10.378357 11.546610 12.848700 14.417662
2026-01-04 6.686817 7.761015 9.008809 10.579120 12.522062 14.873189 17.973728
2026-01-11 5.881843 7.048947 8.463638 10.329397 12.762953 15.883594 20.279272
2026-01-18 5.497361 6.770071 8.370208 10.568921 13.575301 17.640778 23.734127
2026-01-25 5.034528 6.331583 8.009301 10.390520 13.772307 18.549155 26.092660
2026-02-01 4.669574 5.980586 7.718969 10.258123 13.989339 19.474275 28.569922
2026-02-08 4.349652 5.659610 7.434629 10.093846 14.122666 20.263973 30.920977
2026-02-15 4.059016 5.354704 7.144016 9.885469 14.154097 20.879216 33.050494
2026-02-22 3.849049 5.146168 6.970966 9.829351 14.403226 21.853829 35.935181
2026-03-01 3.583757 4.841006 6.635180 9.494400 14.168827 21.988171 37.293781
2026-03-08 3.308729 4.506029 6.234162 9.026316 13.670729 21.609710 37.605825
2026-03-15 3.136721 4.312553 6.032407 8.856629 13.651867 22.064046 39.620689
2026-03-22 3.199104 4.475131 6.387531 9.623617 15.333610 25.857122 49.375769
2026-03-29 3.117194 4.413932 6.391095 9.809299 16.011073 27.864455 55.762689
2026-04-05 2.952426 4.215393 6.163840 9.582529 15.906577 28.307478 58.599464
2026-04-12 2.893630 4.178430 6.192751 9.799848 16.655170 30.593234 66.510640
2026-04-19 2.763640 4.021696 6.016013 9.638007 16.652674 31.284228 70.470428
2026-04-26 2.651249 3.887552 5.868852 9.517849 16.719190 32.133045 75.080101
2026-05-03 2.541416 3.752336 5.712336 9.368698 16.711321 32.811204 79.386092
2026-05-10 2.431769 3.612555 5.540777 9.179411 16.602072 33.238704 83.065828
2026-05-17 2.353189 3.520480 5.446134 9.128416 16.778445 34.372179 89.292134
2026-05-24 2.236699 3.360687 5.226548 8.823868 16.382751 34.050306 90.673161
2026-05-31 2.106517 3.173572 4.951820 8.397776 15.690191 32.909046 89.023674